Tuesday, September 21, 2010

For Vick, the Future is Now or Never



Once upon a time, in an entirely different NFL era, Michael Vick was heralded as "The Future" of America's most successful sports league. Today, the prodigious quarterback project - now a thirty-year-old who recently spent twenty-one months in a cage and filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy - is stunningly starring as a starter once again. Vick has sprinted his way back to the center of the sports world, shaking off linebackers and personal demons alike along the way. For the one-time boy wonder, the future is now or never.

Only nine years separate us from a long-gone reality in which the Falcons paraded their prized draft pick through the streets of Atlanta. Expectations of Super Bowl championships and record-setting statistics were immediately set into place when Vick arrived as the first overall selection of the 2001 NFL Draft. The 21-year-old came to town fresh off a scintillating career at Virginia Tech, where his dazzling, instinctive style of play captured the nation's attention. Vick carried the Hokies to the national championship game as a redshirt freshman in 1999 and, despite a lopsided loss to Florida State, he became the unquestionable king of college football. In the decade since he joined the professional ranks, only Tim Tebow and Reggie Bush have matched the hype that surrounded Vick throughout his playing days in Blacksburg.



Even the experts didn't know how to define Vick when he made a highly-anticipated leap to the NFL. His incomparable skill set at the quarterback position challenged defensive coordinators around the country. If a play broke down and improvisation was neeeded, Vick could gloriously turn a five-yard loss into a 50-yard highlight-reel scramble. He was the original Mr. Wildcat at quarterback and his electrifying dual threat capabilities left an indelible impression on college football lore. Although Vick passed sparingly at Virginia Tech, the lefty threw with a ton of velocity. Despite some accuracy issues, it was believed that a year or two under the tutelage of an NFL offensive coordinator could cure any inconsistencies in Vick's throwing mechanics.


The San Diego Chargers- a notroriously flawed franchise just three years removed from the infamous Ryan Leaf fiasco - owned the first selection in 2001. It was presumed San Diego would take the hero of Hokieville and count on him to rescue the team from its downward spiral. The Chargers even signed veteran scrambler Doug Flutie as an apparent mentor but, in a stunning twist, San Diego got cold feet and traded the pick to Atlanta for a package of players and draft choices. Perhaps San Diego was afraid to get burned by another "can't miss" quarterback prospect, or maybe it was an economic decision - rumors circulated that Vick desired a record-shattering rookie contract. Whatever the reason, Atlanta became the site of the NFL's new main attraction - the Michael Vick Experience.

The popularity Vick garnered at Virginia Tech followed him into the NFL and it didn't take long for his jersey to become the league's top seller. Atlanta's new quarterback became Nike's poster boy and netted LeBron-like endorsement deals years before James' emergence (Coca-Cola, EA Sports and Powerade were among his investors). Vick earned his first Pro Bowl appearance in 2002 - just his second year in the league. The '02 season remains Vick's finest to date, as he led Atlanta to the postseason and became the first visiting QB to knock off the Packers in a home playoff game. The win at Lambeau Field prematurely vaulted Vick into the perceived upper echelon of NFL passers.


A fractured fibula during the following preseason sidelined Vick and squelched Atlanta's chances of improving on the breakout '02 campaign. Though he continued to run circles around defenders upon his return from injury - gaining over 2,500 yards rushing between 2004 and 2006 - whispers about Vick's lack of pocket presence, passing accuracy and quarterback
savvy began to grow louder. The defensive gameplan against the improvisational genius became simplified: constantly spy and blitz him with linebackers to cut off running lanes and make Vick beat you with his arm. Despite two more Pro Bowl selections and a trip to the 2004 NFC Championship game, Falcons fans began to grow frustrated with Vick's inconsistent performance as a passer. Mounting tension between the franchise's fan base and star culminated in the aftermath of a November, 2006 home loss to New Orleans, when Vick gave the Georgia Dome crowd a middle-finger salute (pictured, right) as he headed off the field. It was the beginning of an ugly end to a once-promising career in Atlanta.


Though Vick became the first quarterback in NFL history to gain 1,000 yards on the ground, he completed just 52% of his passes during an '06 season that saw the Falcons muddle their way to 7-9. Despite the struggles, no one could've imagined Vick's sixth year in Atlanta would be his last. Then came the dastardly dog fighting scandal.

On August 24, 2007 - weeks before Vick's seventh season was set to begin and hours after he pleaded guilty to federal charges stemming from the Bad Newz Kennels dog fighting investigation - the NFL suspended its one-time golden boy indefinitely without pay. From that point on, things moved downhill fast for the fallen superstar. A judge ordered Vick to reimburse the Falcons nearly $20 million dollars of his signing bonus. Shortly after, he was sent to Leavenworth Prison in Kansas to serve his mandatory jail sentence. The quarterback that no defense could cage was placed in a small cell for nearly two years, his prospects of returning to professional football on life support.

During his time in prison, everyone from the president of PETA to former teammates let Vick have it. Aside from being labled a cold-hearted dog killer, revelations from his tenure in Atlanta began to trickle out. Reports stated he was always the last player to arrive for team functions, while being the first to hit the road. Some called him a chemistry-killer who lacked the necessary accountability and wherewithal to lead an NFL franchise. Few star athletes endured such a swift fall from grace as Vick - Tiger Woods and Barry Bonds come to mind - and many wondered whether he would be blackballed by NFL teams upon his eventual release from Leavenworth.
Tony Dungy - a former Super Bowl champion coach and devout Christian - took up the task of mentoring Vick as he moved toward a new chapter in his shattered life. Dungy visited Vick in prison and acted as a liaison between the embattled quarterback and the NFL. After his release, Dungy publicly praised the strides his pupil had made in such a short time. Vick had matured into a humble grown man, ready to own up to his heinous mistakes and move on, Dungy said. A year and a half later, it appears Dungy - as usual - was right on point.


When the Philadelphia Eagles swooped in and signed the controversial QB on August 13, 2009, many in NFL circles were stunned. Just a few years removed from the Terrell Owens debacle, it seemed unlikely head coach Andy Reid would invite the opportunity for another distraction. However, Reid's respect for Dungy and awareness of Vick's God-given abilities ultimately outweighed the potential PETA protesters and media backlash. Philadelphia handed him a one year, $1.6 million contract, with a $5 million team option for 2010. The money - as well as Vick's spot on the roster - was not guaranteed.


From a football perspective, the move was startling. Philadelphia already possessed a franchise quarterback in Donovan McNabb, who led the Eagles to five division titles and four NFC Championship games. Kevin Kolb - the team's first pick in the 2007 draft - lingered in the background as McNabb's heir apparent. Vick's 2009 season was a tad awkward and overly ineffective, as Reid used him sporadically in an attempt to throw off defenses.

Entering the offseason, Vick's future again grew cloudy. Philadelphia supposedly made Vick available on the trade market. Any team in the NFL likely could've acquired him for little more than a third or fourth-round draft pick. No one took the bait. Instead, the Eagles dealt McNabb to Washington and awarded Kolb with a two-year, $12 million contract extension that solidified him as the starter at quarterback moving forward. Vick would be elevated to the team's primary backup, but seemed doubtful to receive increased playing time as Reid worked on improving Kolb.

That was then (two weeks ago), this is now. A vicious hit from Green Bay's Clay Matthews returned Kolb to the sidelines with a concussion in the season opener. Kolb - who looked overwhemed in one half of football - was ruled out of last Sunday's matchup in Detroit. Just a few years ago, he may not have missed any time with a head injury, but the NFL has ramped up its efforts to prevent brain damage and there's no way a team can get away with breaking from that trend. Nearly four years removed from his last start with Atlanta, an unlikely opportunity presented itself for Vick.


After an impressive performance in the second half of the Packers game, Vick filled in as starter on the road versus the Lions. Simply put, his performance was captivating. There was Vick, spinning out of sacks and moving the Eagles up and down Ford Field. His threat to run created space for second-year running back LeSean McCoy, who passed the century mark in yards for the first time in his career. A noticeable rapport with receivers DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin helped Vick complete 62% of his passes for 284 yards and two touchdowns. Suddenly, Vick's instinctiveness and athleticism were combined with the most important tool an NFL quarterback can possess: preparation.


The quarterback's newfound diligence on the practice field and in the film room has fueled his journey on the comeback express. His committment is a result of social Darwinism. As his prison release neared, Vick faced a choice - he could adapt and develop into an accountable, goal-oriented teammate or remain an egotistical inidvidual and doom his chances of a return to football. So far, so good. Yesterday - less than 24 hours after he confirmed Kolb's return to the starting lineup - Reid had a change of heart, tabbing Vick as his starter at quarterback, while acknowledging the move had nothing to do with Kolb's concussion.


Two weeks into the "Kolb Era", Vick pried the starting job away from a young man who spent three years being groomed for the role. This move goes against just about everything we've seen from Reid during his 11-year tenure in Philly. Typically ho-hum and frustratingly stubborn, Reid contradicted himself by benching Kolb. It wasn't hard to see that he was OK with that, as Big Red beamed at Tuesday's press conference, using colorful phrases like "playing out of his mind" and "brilliant" to describe Vick's six quarters as Philadelphia's quarterback.


Perhaps Reid saw this coming all along, ever since he signed the freshly freed QB. Or maybe, just like Vick, the veteran coach has adapted by putting aside personal pride for the betterment of his squad. Welcome to the Andy Reid Era: Version 2.0. The potential of a young, lightning fast offense is scary...but so is the risk. If these past two weeks prove to be an aberration and Reid was too impulsive in handing the keys over to Vick, the result would spell disaster for both men. Regardless of how this ultimately plays out, Michael Vick is starting on Sundays once more. That should be more than enough motivation for a man who watched Philadelphia's 2009 NFC Championship loss to Arizona from behind bars.

Monday, September 13, 2010

Twenty Team Dash: Examining the NFL's Week Two Totem Pole

WELCOME BACK




TWENTY TEAM DASH: WEEK 1
Ranking the NFL's top 20 following a memorable opening weekend...


1 New Orleans Saints 1-0

Won 14-9 vs Minnesota

The scene in New Orleans during Thursday night's NFL Kickoff spectacular against Minnesota was a familiar one - the Superdome loaded with krunked-up cajun crazies, Drew Brees' iconic pregame chant and, of course, Harry Connick Jr. randomly popping up on the field. However, in a game that hardly looked like a clash of two league titans, the champs nearly spoiled the party. New Orleans scored quickly on their first drive, but it was a struggle on offense the rest of the way. Style points were at a minimum for a team that thrives off exciting plays. The good for the Saints is the defense was just as solid as it was throughout the Saint's 2010 playoff run. Don't expect Brees and his pals on offense to lay low much longer.

2 Baltimore Ravens 1-0
Won 10-9 @ New York Jets

Joe Flacco was the difference in a Monday night slug fest that felt an awful lot like a playoff preview. Ray Rice was held to just 43 yards on 21 rushing attempts against the relentless Jets' defense, but Baltimore's third-year quarterback stepped up when it mattered most. Flacco distributed the ball amongst his suddenly deep receiving corp - newcomers Anquan Boldin and T.J. Houshmandzadeh combined for 137 yards on eight receptions - and guided the Ravens to an astounding 57% efficiency rating (11-of-19) on third down. Middle linebacker Ray Lewis is still an absolute beast at 35 years old. I'm not sure I've ever seen a non-quarterback play at such a high level so late in his professional football career.

3 New England Patriots 1-0

Won 38-24 vs Cincinnati


Something tells me Sunday's dominant performance against the Bengals was the begining of a season we may ultimately dub "The Empire Strikes Back". Tom Brady tossed three touchdowns - two in the direction of Wes Welker - and moved in and out of the pocket with better mobility than he displayed all of last year. Randy Moss snagged five balls before using the postgame press conference to yet again voice his displeasure over the lack of a contract extension. Moss has never been too keen on the concept of keeping things "in house", and it could ultimately cost him another pay day with the Patriots.





4 Minnesota Vikings 0-1

Lost 14-9 @ New Orleans
Throughout the Vikings' undewhelming nine-point output in New Orleans, Brett "Pop Pop" Favre looked... how should I put this... old. The greyhaired gunslinger displayed his usual zip on throws but, much like a senior citizen at the grocery store, Favre had trouble locating his intended targets. However, his touchdown pass to Visanthe Shiancoe was a dart down the seam and it was obvious to anyone watching that Favre's competitive fire hasn't dimmed since his magical '09 run.



5 Houston Texans 1-0

won 34-24 vs Indianapolis

Houston unleashed a beast in Arian Foster, who carved the Colts' defense for 231 yards and three touchdowns on 33 carries. Matt Schaub - last season's NFL yardage king - completed just nine passes, but that was enough, as Houston knocked off division-dominating Indy for just the second time in 17 attempts. Head coach Gary Kubiak leaned heavily on Foster, who nearly matched his '09 statistical totals (251 yards, three touchdowns) in the contest. The running back went undrafted out of Tennessee last April, but if Sunday's performance was any indication, Foster will have GMs cringing this fall.



6 Dallas Cowboys 0-1

lost 13-7 @ Washington

No team suffered a worse fate on opening weekend than the Cowboys, who saw a potential game-winning Roy Williams' touchdown nullified by a holding penalty. Expectations in Dallas haven't been this high since Troy Aikman was behind center and a 13-7 loss to last year's divison doormat doesn't exactly get the momentum rolling toward Jerry Jones' ultimate dream - home field advantage in the Super Bowl for his 'Boys.

7 Indianapolis Colts 0-1

lost 34-24 @ Houston

Peyton Manning may be the NFL's greatest quarterback ever, but even Andy Reid would admit a 57:10 pass-to-run ratio isn't likely to earn you a W in this league. Second-year receiver Austin Collie caught 11 balls for 163 yards and a touchdown in his first opener as one of Manning's top targets. Indy's "bend but don't break" defense is in tatters following an epic thrashing at the hands of Arian Foster and the Texans' ground game.

8 Green Bay Packers 1-0

Won 27-20 @ Philadelphia

Outside linebacker Clay Matthews looked like the best player on a field filled with young stars in Philadelphia. Matthews led Green Bay with seven tackles, two sacks and a forced fumble. The second-year USC grad also lowered the boom on Kevin Kolb that led to the quarterback's early departure. Running back Ryan Grant is done for the season with an ankle injury, but as long as Aaron Rodgers is upright, Green Bay is a major Super Bowl contender.

9 New York Jets 0-1

lost 10-9 vs Baltimore

Don't you hate it when reality get in the way of a good story? Quarterback Marc Sanchez is still just 23 years old and doesn't yet possess the ability to overcome a superior defensive gameplan like the one Baltimore brings to the table. Rex Ryan shoulf be a tad worried about his defensive secondary opposite Revis Island. It wouldn't be the least bit surprising if Antonio "Big Daddy" Cromartie surrendered his starting job to rookie Kyle Wilson by Halloween. Despite being one of the league's flashiest defensive playmakers, Cromartie's shortcomings in coverage showed through as the potential Achilles' heel of an otherwise overbearing New York defense.


10 Tennessee Titans 1-0

won 38-13 vs Oakland

If Vince Young can play as efficiently as he did during Tennessee's blowout victory (13-of-17, 154 yards and two touchdowns) for at least 75% of the season, the Titans are a force to be reckoned with in the AFC. Chris Johnson began his quest toward 2,500 yards (his personal goal, not my expectation) in the same fashion he closed out his record-setting '09 season. CJ2K gained 142 yards - more than half of which came on 76-yard touchdown sprint that widened Tennessee's lead to 24-3 late in the first half.

11 Pittsburgh Steelers 1-0

won 15-9 vs Falcons (OT)


Ben Roethlisberger's four-game suspension forced all eyes on substitute starting QB Dennis Dixon, but it Rashard Mendenhall who made the difference against Atlanta. The Steelers' running back scampered fifty yards to paydirt and finished off the Falcons with a rare walk-off touchdown in overtime. Mendenhall's game-winning jaunt gave him 120 yards on the ground in aid of Pittsburgh's patchwork passing game. If the Men of Steel can win two of their next three matchups - trips to Tennessee and Tampa Bay, followed by a division showdown versus Baltimore - they will be in great shape heading into a week five bye week highlighted by the return of Big Ben.





12 San Diego Chargers 0-1

lost 21-14 @ Kansas City

Tensions are already mounting in SoCal, where fallout from the loss in Kansas City centers around the invisible man - Vincent Jackson. San Diego's No. 1 wide receiver is still in the middle of a holdout that grows uglier by the day, while the Chargers scored an uncharacteristically low 14 points against a Chiefs defense that has struggled since the Clinton Administration. So the two go hand-in-hand right? Not so fast. Rivers still threw for nearly 300 yards, with upstart Legedu Naanee accounting for 11o of those and a touchdown. Blame the Chargers' early offensive woes on Monday night's monsoon-like conditions - and a vastly improved division rival.

13 Cincinnati Bengals 0-1

lost @ New England 38-24

Either the first thirty minutes of 2010 Bengals football was a total aberration or I vastly overrated this veteran squad. Cincinnati appeared to be sleepwalking throughout a first half that saw New England easily jump out to 24-0 lead. Carson Palmer followed up a disastourous start with an impressive second half. He spread the ball effectively amongst teammates - four Bengals caught at least five passes - while leading three touchdown drives. The Chad Ochocinco-Terrell Eldorado experiment worked out well in week one. The duo racked up 212 yards and a touchdown on 19 receptions.


14 Atlanta Falcons 0-1


lost @ Pittsburgh 15-9 (OT)

There's no shame in this loss for Atlanta. The Falcons faced a tough task in Pittsburgh, taking on an offense out to prove it can score without its bad boy quarterback and a defense still embarrased about breaking down late in '09. Despite giving up Mendenhall's big run in overtime, Atlanta matched Pittsburgh's physicality - which bodes well for a team that plays plenty of big dogs (is it ok to use that phrase in association with Atlanta again? Have we moved on?) between now and November.

15 New York Giants 1-0

won 31-18 vs Carolina

Despite a comfortable win over Carolina, the Giants have plenty of issues to clean up. Yes, Eli Manning threw three touchdowns to Hakeem Nicks, but that doesn't excuse Baby Bro's three interceptions and Nicks' numerous drops against the Panthers. Brandon Jacobs' days a feature back (did they ever truly exist?) are apparently history. Ahmad Bradshaw received twenty carries - eight more than Jacobs.

16 Miami Dolphins 1-0

won 15-10 @ Buffalo

Miami came out on top of the trash heap known as Dolphins vs. Bills. Neither team looked particularly good at anything, but Miami's sizeable advantage on the offensive side of the ball ensured the Brandon Marshall Era would begin with a win. Though Chad Henne didn't play much better than Buffalo's Trent Edwards - who was terrible - the Dolphins' ground game bailed out its young quarterback. Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams were up to their old tricks, working in tandem to run for 127 yards and the team's only touchdown.

17 Washington Redskins 1-0


won 13-7 vs Dallas



Washington's victory over NFC East favorite Dallas surprised me more than any other result from opening weekend. Donovan McNabb missed most of his first preseason in D.C. so I expected Dallas' defense to be its usual dominating self. What I didn't anticipate was the fire with which the Redskins' defense displayed. Free agent prize DeAngelo Hall reached the endzone on a 32-yard fumble return as the first half expired. Hall's backbreaking score gave Washington a 10-0 advantage and the defense would make it stand up. Washington could become an NFC dark horse if the defense can play close to this level throughout the season for coordinator Jim Haslett.

18 Philadelphia Eagles 0-1

lost 27-20 vs Green Bay



The definition of success in Philadelphia in 2010 is rather simple - finish with more wins than McNabb's Redskins. Advantage Donovan. The season opener could not have gone more awry in Philly, where an offseason's worth of planning fell apart at the seams. Kevin Kolb - touted as the heir apparent to McNabb since 2007 - ran out of the tunnel as the Eagles' starting quarterback. Roughly an hour and a half later, he found himself on the sidelines once again. Kolb suffered a second-quarter concussion, which opened the door for backup QB Michael Vick. The three-time Pro Bowler ran up and down the field - bringing the Birds back from a 20-3 deficit - in a vintage Vick performance.

What was supposed to be a rare drama-free season in Philadelphia quickly took an unexpected turn. Suddenly, there are packs of fans calling for Vick to start. They'll get their wish Sunday, when a still-scrambled Kolb takes a seat against Detroit. This is by no means a benching. The long-term answer at quarterback is simple - Kolb is the starter when healthy because that's been the gameplan for three seasons. Not many coaches are set in their ways like Andy Reid and there's no way he benches his guy based on one half of football, no matter how wretched.

19 Kansas City Chiefs 1-0

won 21-14 vs San Diego

Almost three years passed since the last day Kansas City owned a winning record. That streak mercifully ended Monday night, when the Chiefs - led by a motivated defense and a new playmaker - knocked off San Diego the first game at New Arrowhead Stadium. Romeo Crennel's debut as defensive coordinator was wildly successful, as the Chiefs swarmed to the ball with noticibly more vigor than years past. Former first-round picks Derrick Johnson and Glenn Dorsey particularly looked recharged. Johnson led KC with 11 tackles, while Dorsey wreaked havoc on San Diego's backfield - including a QB pressure on Rivers' fourth-and-goal attempt in the game's final minute.

Rookie Dexter McCluster's 94-yard punt return proved to be the difference. The second-round selection out of Ole Miss became the first player to return a kick for a touchdown in his NFL debut game since Jacquez Green accomplished the feat with Tampa Bay in 1998.

20 Chicago Bears 1-0

won 19-14 vs Detroit

Game one of the intriguing Mike Martz-Jay Cutler collaboration yielded impressive results. Cutler picked up 372 yards on 35 throws - only one of which was caught by a Lion. Surprisingly, running back Matt Forte appears to be the main beneficiary of Martz' pass-oriented, field-stetching offensive scheme. Fresh off a disappointing 2009 season, in which he regressed from a stellar rookie campaign, Forte came up huge in the opening win. Though Detroit held the third-year back to just 50 yards on the ground, he starred in Chicago's passing game, tallying a team-high seven receptions and 151 yards, while catching both Bears' touchdown.

Saturday, September 11, 2010

Time for Texans to Emerge from Expansion Woes



HOUSTON TEXANS

LAST SEASON: 9-7 - second place in AFC South

AT THE HELM: Gary Kubiak (fifth season, 31-33 with Houston)

NEW WEAPONS: QB Matt Leinart, K Neil Rackers, CB Kareem Jackson (R)

SENT PACKING: CB Dunta Robinson, RB Ryan Moats, K Kris Brown, QB Rex Grossman


THE VIBE

Eight years separate Houston from its inaugural season. The luster of the dark blue and red uniforms is faded and the Texans are no longer the loveable fledgling franchise of seasons past. After meandering its way to mediocrity for nearly a decade, the time has come for the Texans to answer what is fast becoming an annual offseason question in professional football. Is Houston finally ready to grow up?


Head coach Gary Kubiak - freshly signed to an extension through 2012 - must be an awfully patient man. Along with general manager Rick Smith, Kubiak took on the challenge of building a roster almost entirely through the draft. The native Houstonian inherited a Texans team that posted just 18 wins through four seasons of existence, including a 2-14 stinker in 2005. Four years later, Kubiak's squad is fresh off its first winning campaign. But following two consecutive 8-8 seasons leading up to '09, the 9-7 record didn't exactly fire up the fanbase.

The AFC is deep - approximately a dozen teams have a legitimate shot at the postseason this year - and in order to survive the rigors of an arduous path to the playoffs, Houston needs to get nastier. Spearheaded by a defense loaded with young stars, it shouldn't be too difficult.

Linebackers DeMeco Ryans and Brian Cushing are former Defensive Rookie of the Year award winners, while defensive end Mario Williams was the first overall pick of the star-studded 2006 draft class (collegiate legends Reggie Bush and Vince Young followed him off the board). Upon being selected tenth overall in 2007, 19-year-old Amobi Okoye became the youngest plyaer in league history. Now in his fourth season, Okoye anchors the interior of a developing defensive line. As he grows more stout against the run, Williams will receive a lot more freedom to maneuver on the outside.

Despite losing speedy cover corner Dunta Robinson to Atlanta in free agency, Houston's 2010 first round choice should prevent a drop-off at the position. Kareem Jackson - a standout member of Alabama's national championship squad - may already be further along in his progression than Robinson. Though he has a gambler's mentality when it comes to going for interceptions, players like Pro Bowler Asante Samuel have flourished while leaving on the edge. Jackson's ability to step up and defend the run on the perimeter makes him much more valuable than the overly abudnant finesse cornerbacks who spend Sundays playing pattycake.

Houston's offense seems to be one step ahead of the defense in its maturation. Quarterback Matt Schaub stayed healthy in 2009, playing more than 11 games for the first time in his career. The results were impressive. Schaub led the league in passing yards (4,770) and threw for 29 touchdowns. The seventh-year passer has evolved from a seldom-used backup behind Michael Vick in Atlanta to one of the NFL's elite. It doesn't hurt to have freak of nature Andre Johnson running and leaping after your passes. You won't find a better receiver in the NFL than Johnson, who signed a two-year, $24 million extension this summer. His 216 receptions, 3,144 yards and 17 touchdowns since 2008 are off-the-charts statistics that he should keep pace with this season.


Although Houston's ground game is the awkward little brother of a practically unstoppable air assualt, the Texans have some interesting options at running back. Steve Slaton followed up a terrific rookie year (1,282 yards, 9 touchdowns) with a forgettable 2009 (437 yards, 3 touchdowns). The speedster suffered from a pinched nerve for much of the season and it eventually cost him the final five games. Rookie Arian Foster took advantage of Slaton's misfortune, scoring three touchdowns and showing promise in December. Foster enters his second year atop the Texans' depth chart at running back but you can be sure that a healthy Slaton is hell-bent on reclaiming the starting gig he held just a season ago.


THE VERDICT


11-5 - second place in AFC South - lose to Indianapolis in divisional round


Houston - the only existing franchise of the four major American pro sports leagues (MLB, NHL, NBA and NFL) to never reach the postseason - finally plays beyond 16 games and proves to be an emerging conference power. Kubiak's young squad steps up in the same spots it used to wilt - particularly fourth quarter defense. Slaton escapes the head coach's dog house by reeling off a string of strong performances that vault him past Foster as the team's feature back. An improved running game cuts into Schaub's gaudy stats, but the quarterback still manages to hook up with Johnson for at least ten scores.


The Texans earn a regular season split with the hated Colts, who own an all-time record of 15-1 against Houston. But Indy keeps command of the rivalry by delivering a knockout punch against the Texans in the playoffs. Cue the "Who's your daddy?" chants.

Peyton and Indy Enter Second Decade of Setting the NFL Standard


INDIANAPOLIS COLTS




LAST SEASON: 14-2 - first in AFC South - lost to New Orleans in Super Bowl

AT THE HELM: Jim Caldwell (second season, 14-2 with Indianapolis)

NEW WEAPONS: DE Jerry Hughes (R), LB Pat Angerer (R), CB Deshea Townsend

SENT PACKING: G Ryan Lilja, DE Raheem Brock, SAF Marlin Jackson





THE VIBE


In a league defined by parity, the Indianapolis Colts are the exception to the rule. Indy last failed to win ten regular season games in 2001. The NFL landscape has changed quite a bit since then. The league realigned from six divisions to eight - bouncing the Colts from the AFC East to the newly formed South division - when the Houston Texans arrived on the scene. Super Bowl XXXIV MVP Kurt Warner saw his career crumble in St. Louis, only to put the pieces back together in the desert years later. Paul Tagliabue handed the reigns of commissioner to Roger Goodell. Oh, and in case you hadn't heard, Brett Favre retired. Three times. The NFL is ever-changing, but Peyton Manning and the Colts just keep winning.

Now entering the latter stages of a remarkable career, Manning refuses to take his foot off the pedal on the field or in the film room. His impeccable preparation prior to each matchup is what sets him apart from the hundreds of NFL passers who have come and gone during his dominance.

It helps that Manning is lucky. That's the only way to describe how a quarterback can play 12 seasons in this punishing sport without missing a game. The 34-year-old field general is second only to Favre on the NFL's all-time consecutive games started list (currently 210 games). He has taken the opening snap of every Colts' contest since the franchise made him the first overall selection of the 1998 Draft.

Wide receiver Reggie Wayne - Manning's long-time target - also has an outstanding track record of durability. Wayne sat out of three games as a rookie in '01 but hasn't missed any time since, while exceeding in every role the Colts have asked him to fill. Initially, Wayne was the perfect sidekick to future Hall-of-Famer Marvin Harrison. About four years ago - when time began to take its toll on Harrison's body - Wayne elevated his play and effortlessly slid into the role of Manning's go-to wideout (arguably the most enviable job in the NFL).

Entering his tenth season out of Miami, Wayne - now making his own case for Canton - is the elder statesman tutoring a young group of pass catchers. Austin Collie and Pierre Garcon - both 24 years old - combined for 107 receptions, 1,442 yards and 11 touchdowns in 2009. Anthony Gonzalez heads into his fourth season in search of a rebound. Gonzalez - the final pick of the first round in 2007 - was brought in to fill Harrison's shoes opposite of Wayne and appeared on his way to doing so. However, in the 2009 opener - his first game as Harrison's heir - Gonzalez injured his right knee and his season ended before he could even register a reception. Garcon and Collie excelled in his absence, meaning the pressure will be on Gonzo to battle for playing time in a loaded aerial attack that also features All-Pro tight end Dallas Clark (100 receptions in '09).

Colts president Bill Polian - an architect behind the Buffalo Bills quasi-dynasty of the early 1990s - does a masterful job of finding character guys late on draft day. Indy's defense is filled with prime examples of the regime's substance-over-style approach. Middle linebacker Gary Brackett (undrafted, 2003), defensive end Robert Mathis (fifth round, 2003), outside linebacker Clint Session (fourth round, 2007) and free safety Antoine Bethea (sixth round, 2006) bring a chip-on-the-shoulder attitude to Indy's starting D. Despite often being at a physical disadvantage, the Colts defense relies on superiour smarts and tenacity - lasting trademarks of the Tony Dungy regime - to consistently come up big just enough times over the course of four quarters. Peyton can handle the rest.



THE VERDICT


12-4 - first in AFC South - lose to Baltimore in AFC Championship


Indianapolis racks up twelve victories for the eighth consecutive season. Manning is vintage, again displaying arguably the greatest field vision ever seen in football. Pierre Garcon separates himself from the pack of young wideouts, surpassing 1,000 yards receiving in the process. Clark and Wayne - who is growing impatient for a new contract at the age of 31 - are reliable as ever despite relinquishing some statistics to the youngsters. Starting running back Joseph Addai stays one stride ahead of second-year man Donald Brown in the seldom-used backfield.


Indy's defense bends as often as last season, but breaks more frequently than in '09. Apart from defensive end Dwight Freeney and oft-injured safety Bob Sanders, no one has the potential to derail an offensive gameplan. The Colts wrap up home field advantage throughout the playoffs once again, but continue to draw comparisons to the Atlanta Braves of the 1990s (more than a decade of division dominance but just one World Series victory) when Baltimore bowls over Indianapolis with a Super Bowl trip on the line.


Note to reader: take some time to admire the abilities of Manning in '09. He is the benchmark at quarterback in modern football and isn't getting any younger.